Tuesday 30 September 2008

Sell Adani: CMP Rs 467




We recommend a sell in Adani Enterprises from a short-term perspective. It is evident from the charts that the stock has been in a long-term downtrend from its January high of Rs 1,335.

On September 29, the stock tumbled more then 9 per cent and found support around Rs 500 level, which is also the March trough. However, this halt proved to be temporary. The stock conclusively broke through this support level by declining 6 per cent with high volume on September 30, reinforcing the bearishness.

The counter is trading well below its 21 and 50-day moving averages. The daily and weekly relative strength indices are featuring in the bearish zone. Moreover, the daily and weekly moving average convergence and divergence are featuring in the negative territory. The long-term down trend line is intact and is still in place.

Our short-term forecast for the stock is negative. We expect the stock’s downtrend to prolong until it hits our price target of Rs 420 in the upcoming trading sessions. Traders with short-term perspective can sell the stock while maintaining a stop-loss at Rs 490.

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DISCLAIMER: The author is not a registered stockbroker nor a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity, index or any other financial instrument at any time. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. The author recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and that you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.