Tuesday, 18 November 2008

Analysts' Picks: Jet Airways

Jet Airways
cmp: Rs 181.50
target price: Rs 167

Citi investment research has changed its rating on the stock to ‘sell/high risk’ from sell/medium risk with a revised target price of Rs 167 from Rs 440. “Jet merits a high risk rating, given the competitive scenario in the domestic market, unstability in its international operations and its highly leveraged balance sheet,” said Citi in a note to its clients.

Citi believes that Jet’s operating cash losses will continue into FY10 and expects the company will need to raise fresh funds to refinance debt repayment (around $280 million over FY09/10E). “Debt/equity ratios are rendered meaningless given the significantly affected net worth — debt-equity is forecast at seven times end FY10E (including asset revaluation reserves),” said the Citi note. According to Citi, the company will face recurring losses of over Rs 36 billion (earlier Rs 20 billion) over FY09-FY10 due to decelerating passenger traffic and escalating cost pressures (aided by depreciating rupee). It expects the yields to dip by 12% in FY10E as lower fuel prices will be passed on to the customers.

Source: EconomicTimes

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